UPDATE 1-China daily steel output up 0.26 pct over Aug 11-20 - CISA
Post Date: 30 Aug 2011 Viewed: 548
* Mid-Aug output marks second increase in a row * Demand expected to pick up in Sept-Oct * Market concerned over impact of tightening moves
(Adds background, quotes from trader and mill) By Ruby Lian and David Stanway SHANGHAI, Aug 29 (Reuters) - China's daily crude steel
output stood at 1.947 million tonnes over Aug. 11-20, up 0.26
percent from the previous 10 days, industry data showed on
Monday, with mills planning to take advantage of a revival in
demand in the autumn. Daily output in the world's biggest steel producer and
consumer rose for the second ten-day period in a row, according
to data from the China Iron and Steel Association (CISA). Market players expect demand to pick up in September and
October, keeping steel production at high levels. "China's overall investment in construction projects has
remained aggressive this year, the driver behind steel
production," said Bill Chen, a senior trader with Hong
Kong-based Smart Timing Steel Ltd. Mills aimed to cash in on the building programme even during
the sweltering summer, when construction normally slows, with
daily output remaining close to the record of more than 2
million tonnes set in the last 10 days of June. Daily steel output has stayed above 1.9 million tonnes since
February, up from an average of about 1.7 million tonnes last
year. "The next two months are normally the last opportunity for
large sales for steel mills as demand traditionally picks up and
pushes prices higher," said an official with major steelmaker
Anshan Iron & Steel Group Corp . Chinese major steel mills have all raised main product
prices for September bookings.
H2 UNCERTAINTIES China's tightening moves may further weigh on steel prices
in the months ahead, with the world's second-largest economy
ordering banks to include margin deposits in required reserves
at the central bank, after repeatedly raising RRR and interest
rates since late-2010. "The PBOC's latest move to expand the RRR base demonstrates
the government's intention of remaining on a tightening track,"
said Henry Liu, regional head of commodity research at Mirae
Asset Securities in Hong Kong. He said in a note that steel traders were already suffering
from the credit crunch, while demand growth was dependent on a
single factor -- construction activities. "Without the participation of traders, we see little chance
of steel price improvement," he added. Some of China's biggest steel mills, which mainly produce
flat steel products, have suffered from weak demand from key
customers such as the auto sector, and their profits have been
further eroded by persistently high costs. "Steel production costs have been high, but I am worried
about steel prices after October and even next year because the
uncertain economic outlook still weighs on demand," the mill
official said. The following table shows changes in daily output since the
beginning of the year.
Period Daily Change output (pct) (mln T)
Aug 11-20 1.947 +0.3
Aug 1-10 1.942 +0.4
July 21-31 1.935 -0.7
July 11-20 1.950 -0.3
July 1-10 1.955 -3.1
Jun 21-30 2.018 +3.2
Jun 11-20 1.955 -0.6
Jun 1-10 1.967 +2.7
May 21-31 1.915 +3.5
May 11-20 1.984 +1.9
May 1-10 1.947 +0.3
Apr 21-30 1.941 +1.9
Apr 11-20 1.904 -1.1
Apr 1-10 1.933 +0.6
Mar 21-31 1.922 -1.2
Mar 11-20 1.945 +2.2
Mar 1-10 1.903 -0.4
Feb 21-28 1.912 +5.4
Feb 11-20 1.814 +1.5
Feb 1-10 1.787 +4.5
Jan 21-31 1.710 +0.9
Jan 11-20 1.695 -5.5
Jan 1-10 1.794 +3.5
Source: CISA